Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Cameron Maybin Trade Analysis

Tom Krasovicby Tom Krasovic

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Cameron MaybinHere's the breakdown on the trade that sends center fielder Cameron Maybin to the Padres and relievers Ryan Webb and Edward Mujica to the Marlins.

o. In Maybin, 23, the Padres get a super-athletic player who has the most upside of any center fielder they employ save Donavan Tate, a fellow former top-10 draft pick who has yet to play a full season in Single-A. Yet the Marlins wouldn't have traded Maybin for Webb and Mujica if they believed he had a decent chance of becoming a star for them. He frustrated them with strikeout binges and dull defensive instincts. The Marlins do not have a stellar prospect to plug into center field.

Maybin doesn't need to become a star to represent an upgrade for the Padres. He is as fast or faster than Tony Gwynn Jr., a defensive stalwart who was San Diego's primary center fielder last year and now can slot as an extra outfielder. Scouts rate Gwynn far better at reading flyballs than Maybin; Maybin's hitting potential is far more exciting. The right-hander has a superb .393 on-base percentage and a .478 slugging percentage in 418 minor-league games. Across parts of four seasons with the Tigers and Marlins, Maybin was a below average hitter with a .313 OBP, a .380 slug rate and a 172 strikeouts in 610 plate appearances. He has 13 home runs and 19 stolen bases in 168 major league games. Maybin reputedly is a hard worker who caused the Marlins no problems. His salary will be near the major league minimum.

 

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